4th Quarter 2009 Apartment Vacancy Hits 8%
Reis, Inc., a real estate research firm just released its 4th Quarter 2009 apartment vacancy report. As expected, vacancies hit 8%—the highest in thirty years. The poor state of the U.S. job market continues to be blamed, as job creation lags behind other positive economic indicators. Young people, who are typically apartment renters, have been hit especially hard in the job market.
A bit more positive is the news that an ever-increasing supply of newly built apartment units is starting to decline—finally catching up with the credit crunch that began in the summer of 2008. 28,000 new apartments came onto the market in the 4th quarter 2009. The total for the year: 120,000, including developments intended for condos that converted to rentals. New apartment supply should fall by half in 2011, and if jobs improve, there could be some rental market recovery by the middle of this year, according to the report.
The U.S. apartment vacancy rate rose .20 percent from the 3rd quarter, and 1.3 percent for the year, ending at 8%. Sunbelt cities like Tucson AZ, and Jacksonville, FL experienced huge vacancy increases in 2009, at 10.5% and 14.4%, respectively. Charlotte, NC and Lexington, KY were also hit hard. Nationwide, vacancies increased in 52 markets, improved in 17, and remained flat in 10.
Not only are vacancies higher than ever, but landlords are experiencing a double-whammy: both asking and effective rents are plummeting. For 2009, asking rents fell 2.3%, also the largest decrease in thirty years; effective rent fell .7% to $964 per square foot.
And while mortgage financing has toughened up, government efforts to enhance the housing market threaten apartment owners, as some renters find it easier to buy a home. In some markets, continued unrest in the housing sector and lower rents will make renting more attractive than buying.
Landlords and rental property owners will likely need to continue offering rent reductions, perks and amenities to entice new tenants—until the job market improves. And when that will happen is anybody’s guess.
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